Saturday, December 6, 2025

Weekend Reading - What do the latest polls say about Hispanic support for Donald Trump

 What do the latest polls say about Hispanic support for Donald Trump?

ChatGPT said:

Here’s the latest on how Hispanic (Latino) support for Donald Trump is shaping up — based on multiple 2025 polls. The headline: after gains in 2024, support among many Hispanics appears to be slipping.


📉 What recent polls say (late 2025)

Pew Research Center — major national survey

  • About 70% of Latinos now disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job as president. Only around 27–28% approve. Pew Research Center+2Los Angeles Times+2

  • On key issues: 65% disapprove of his immigration policies, and 61% say his economic policies have worsened economic conditions for Hispanics. Pew Research Center+2The Guardian+2

  • Roughly 80% of Latinos say his policies have been harmful to the Hispanic community — up sharply from around 69% in 2019. Pew Research Center+1

  • On personal economic outlook: 68% of Latinos say their own situation has worsened under Trump’s presidency. Reuters+1

AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research / Associated Press (2025 poll)

  • Favorability among Hispanic adults has dropped from 44% before Trump’s second term to about 25% in October 2025. The Guardian+2pbs.org+2

  • Approval for his job performance slid from 41% in March 2025 to about 27% by October. pbs.org+1

  • Confidence in his handling of immigration and the economy has dropped — two of the issues that helped him with Latino voters in 2024. pbs.org+2The Guardian+2

Other polls & analysis (2025)

  • Even among Hispanic Republicans, discontent is rising: a recent poll found a majority of Hispanic Republicans saying Trump’s policies have been harmful to Latinos. New York Post+1

  • Among younger Hispanics and immigrant Hispanics, approval tends to be lower than among older or U.S.-born Hispanics. Pew Research Center+1

  • Broader sentiment: according to some polling and media analysis, many Latinos say the U.S. feels like a “bad time” to be Latino, citing economic struggles, immigration enforcement, and uncertainty about belonging — which may be eroding political support. Axios+2AP News+2

  • 🔄 What this means compared to 2024

    • In the 2024 election, Trump saw a historic rise in Latino support — exit-poll-based estimates put his share at around 46–48% of the Latino vote. Los Angeles Times+2Wikipedia+2

    • Now, just months into his second term, approval and favorability among Hispanics have dipped significantly — with many polls showing him “underwater” among this group on job performance, immigration, and the economy. VPM+3Pew Research Center+3pbs.org+3

    • Importantly, the decline isn’t confined to Democrats or—traditionally—anti-Trump Hispanics: even among Republicans who supported him, a growing share report dissatisfaction or believe his policies have harmed the Hispanic community. New York Post+1

    • ⚠️ Additional context & nuances

      • Views vary widely by subgroup: factors like age, nativity (immigrant vs U.S.-born), gender, and partisanship influence how Hispanics view Trump. Pew Research Center+1

      • Some Hispanics still support him — especially Republican-leaning ones. But the broad shift suggests that the 2024 gains may not be stable without policy or messaging changes. Pew Research Center+1

      • Other concerns — like the economy, inflation, and aggressive immigration enforcement — appear to be driving much of the dissatisfaction. Reuters+2VPM+2

      • Pull up 5 - 10 recent polls

        ChatGPT said:

        Cool question — here are 7 recent polls (2025) that shed light on how Hispanic / Latino support for Donald Trump is trending. The numbers vary a bit depending on methodology and sample, but the broad trend shows weakening support.


        📊 Recent polls on Hispanic/Latino attitudes toward Trump

      • Poll / Org (Date)Findings on Latino/Hispanic Views of Trump / His Policies
        Pew Research Center (Oct-Nov 2025)70% of Latinos disapprove of Trump’s job as president; 65% disapprove of his immigration approach; 61% say his economic policies made conditions worse. Pew Research Center+2Inquirer.com+2
        Same Pew survey (subgroup breakdown)Even among 2024 Latino Trump voters, approval slipped: from 93% at the start of his term to 81%. Pew Research Center+1
        AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research (Oct 2025)Only 25% of Hispanic adults now hold a favourable view of Trump — down sharply from 44% earlier in the year. pbs.org+1
        According to AP-NORC — job-performance approvalHispanic adults approving Trump’s handling of the presidency dropped from 41% in March to 27% in October 2025. The Guardian+1
        UnidosUS poll (Oct 2025, 3,000 registered Latino voters)64–65% of Latino voters said Trump and congressional Republicans aren’t sufficiently focused on improving the economy. 50% expect his economic policies will worsen their personal economic outlook. Spectrum Local News




        Same UnidosUS pollOnly 28% of Latino voters said they’d vote Republican if elections were held now (vs 52% Democratic), showing a wide Democratic lean among Latinos. Spectrum Local News
        Axios / Ipsos Latino poll (Nov 2025)Just 31% of Latinos say it’s a “good time to be Latino in the U.S.” (down from 55% in March 2024); 65% say it’s a “bad time.” Many cite concerns about immigration enforcement and economic hardship. Axios

        🔎 What stands out & why these polls matter

        • The decline is across multiple dimensions: overall approval, immigration policy, economic performance, and community outlook.

        • Even among those who supported Trump in 2024, support has dropped — suggesting some “buyer’s remorse” or disappointment over unmet expectations.

        • Many Latino voters now feel pessimistic about their economic conditions and sense of belonging in the U.S., which often correlates with political attitudes.

        • The shift seems broad demographic: not only among Democrats or “liberal” Latinos, but also — albeit to a lesser extent — among Republicans and past Trump supporters.


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